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韩国氢能经济,一场生死未卜的政府“赌局”

发布时间: 2020-08-19 10:06:41   来源:华高莱斯  作者:覃文奕

  政府“下注赌局”,已不是一件新鲜事。2007年,合肥“下注”京东方,以全市三分之一的财政收入“下注”面板,2011年“下注”长鑫半导体,拿出100多亿投入半导体产业。结果京东方赚了100多亿,长鑫上市浮盈更是超过1000亿,合肥也因此被网友戏称为“一个伪装成政府的投资银行”。2019年合肥又“下注”了蔚来,拿出100亿“赌”新能源。

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“赌局”或有风险,“下注”就要向前

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韩国2018.8-2020.6氢能经济相关政策梳理

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韩国氢能发展路线图

  1)ZUODAZUOQIANGQINGRANLIAODIANCHIQICHE,QIERUQINGNENGJINGJI

  JIAOTONGLINGYUSHIQINGNENGCHANYEFAZHANZHONGYAOTUPOKOU。QINGRANLIAODIANCHIZUOWEIQUANQIUNENGYUANKECHIXUFAZHANHEZHANLVEZHUANXINGDEZHONGYAOJISHULUJING,MUQIANYIMINGQUEWEIQUANQIUNENGYUANHEJIAOTONGLINGYUFALIDEZHONGYAOZHICHENG。JIUHANGUOZISHENERYAN,YUJI2050NIAN,JIAOTONGLINGYUQINGNENGXUQIUTONGYANGZHANBIZUIGAO,DADAO32%,YUANYUANGAOYUFADIAN、GONGYEYONGNENG、JIANZHUGONGDIANGONGREHEGONGYEYUANLIAO。QIERUJIAOTONGLINGYU,SHIDASHISUOQU,YESHIHANGUOSUOXU。

韩国5大板块氢能需求

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韩国政府氢燃料电池汽车发展计划

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  3)QIANGHUASHENGCHANYUNSHU,KUODASHANGYOUGONGJI,CUJINQINGNENGJINGJI

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氢能产业链示意图

盈多多彩票APP  ZILIAOLAIYUAN:ZONGHEWANGLUOZILIAOZHENGLI

  HANGUOTONGYANGKANDAOLEQINGNENGSHANGYOUDEZHONGYAOXING。HANGUO《QINGNENGJINGJIFAZHANLUXIANTU》MINGQUETICHU,QINGGONGYINGLIANGYAOCONG2018NIANDE13WANDUN/NIANTIGAODAO2040NIANDE526WANDUN/NIAN。2020NIAN7YUE,HANGUOZONGLIDINGSHIJUNBIAOSHI:“HANGUOMUQIANZAIQINGNENGLIYONGLINGYUJUBEIQUANQIUZUIGAOSHUIPING,JINHOUJIANGYICIWEIJICHU,ZAIQINGNENGSHENGCHAN、CHUCUNHEYUNSHUFANGMIANTUIDONGQUDEGENGDAFAZHAN,FAHUIHANZUOWEIQUANQIU“QINGNENGZHONGZHUANZHAN”DESHUNIUZUOYONG。”

  ZAIQINGNENGSHENGCHANFANGMIAN,HANGUOTONGSHIFALIGUONEIJIANSHEYUGUOJIMAOYI,YIZENGJIAQINGGONGYINGLIANG。

盈多多彩票APP  ZAIGUONEIJIANSHEZHONG,QINGNENGJINGJIFAZHANYI“FUCHANQING”HE“QINGTIQU”WEIZHUYAOFANGSHIZHIQING,BINGJIANSHEXIANGGUANJICHUSHESHI。ZHENGFUJIHUAZAIQINGNAN、HUNAN、ZHONGBU、JIANGYUAN4DADIQUSHELIZHONGDENGGUIMOSHENGCHANJIDI,DAO2025NIANJIANLI40GEXIAOGUIMOSHENGCHANJIDI,GOUJIANWENDINGDEQINGGONGJIJICHUSHESHI,DAO2030NIANGOUJIAN100ZHAOWAJILVSEQINGNENGYUANLIANGCHANTIXI,JINKUAISHIXIANLVSEQINGNENGYUANDESHIYONG。QIZHONG,ZHENGFUYOUWEIQIANGDIAOYEQINGSHENGCHANJIDIDEJIANSHE。YEQINGCHUQINGMIDUGAO,CHUYUNCHENGBENDI,CHUCUNYALIDI,GENGSHIHEYONGYUCHEZAIQINGCUNCHUXITONG、QINGSHUYUNHEGUDINGSHICHUCUNXITONG,SHIMIANDUIDAGUIMOSHANGYEYINGYONGDEBIYAOXUANZE。2020NIAN4YUE,HANGUOLINGXIANDEDIANLISHESHIYUGONGCHENGSHANGDOUSHANZHONGGONG(DOOSAN Heavy Industry & Construction)YUHANGUOCHANGYUANSHI、HANGUOGONGYECHANYEYUANHECHANGYUANCHANYEZHENXINGYUANWANCHENGQIANYUE,JIANGJIANSHEYUNYINGRICHANLIANGWEI5DUNDE“CHANGYUANGUOJIACHANYEYUANYEQINGSHIFANXIANGMU”,ZHEIYESHIHANGUOMUQIANGUIMOZUIDADEYEQINGZHIQINGXIANGMU。

  GUOJIMAOYIYESHIHANGUOQINGNENGGONGYINGDEYIDACUOSHI。2020NIAN7YUE6RI,HANGUOZONGLIDINGSHIJUNBIAOSHI,MUQIANCHUANTONGZHIQINGFANGSHIZHINENGWEICHIHAN2022NIANQIANFAZHANXUQIU,WEITIQIANZUOHAOZHUNBEI,HANBIXUZIXIANZAIQIZUOHAOJINKOULVSEQINGNENGDEZHUNBEI。WEICI,HANJIANGJIADAYUAODALIYA、ZHONGDONG、OUMENGDENGZHUYAOQINGNENGSHENGCHANGUOJIADEMIQIEHEZUO,TUIDONGQINGNENGMAOYIFAZHAN。

韩国-澳大利亚氢能进口价格

  ZAICHUCUNHEYUNSHUHUANJIE,HANGUOZHELIGOUJIANWENDINGQIEJINGJIKEXINGDEQINGLIUTONGTIXI。HANGUOYIFANGMIANCAIQUJISHUSHOUDUAN,TONGGUODUOYANGHUACUNCHUFANGFA(RUGAOYAQITI、YETI、GUTI)TIGAOCHUQINGXIAOLV,JIADADUIGUANSHITUOCHEJISHUQINGGUANDAODELIYONGJIANGDIYUNSHUCHENGBEN。

盈多多彩票APP  LINGYIFANGMIAN,HANGUOGENGCAIYONGGUANLISHOUDUAN,YIJIANGUANGAIGETISHENGQINGYUNSHUXIAOLVJIJINGJIXING。2020NIAN4YUE23RI,HANGUOZHENGFUZHAOKAILEGUOWUJIANCHAJIXIEDIAOHUIYI,TICHU“ZAIHUANBAOCHELINGYULVXIANDAPOXIANZHIDEFAZHANLANTU”。“JIANGUANTUPO”DEYAODIANSHI:DAO2024NIAN,JIANGYUNQINGGUANSHUTUOCHEDEYALIHERONGJIBIAOZHUNXIANZHICONGHANGUOXIANXING《GAOYAQITIANQUANGUANLIFA》(KGS AC419)DE45MPaHE450SHENG,TIGAODAO70MPaHE1,400SHENGSHUIPING,YIZENGJIADANCIYUNQINGLIANGLAIJIANGDIQINGGONGYINGJIAGE,CONGERTIGAOYUNYINGXIAOLV。LETIAN、HANGUOQUANZHOUSHITANHUIJUJISHUYANJIUSUOHEHANGUOTIANRANQIANQUANGONGSIJUNCANYUQIZHONG,GAIYANJIUYOUWANGJIANGQINGSHUYUNCHENGBENJIANGDI63%。

盈多多彩票APP  4)YOUHUAFAZHANHUANJING,ZHIDINGDUOFANGZHENGCE,BAOZHANGQINGNENGJINGJI

  QINGNENGJINGJIDEFAZHANJUEBUJINJINSHIJISHUWENTI,GENGSHITIXIHUADEXITONGGONGCHENG。WEILEQUEBAOHANGUOQINGNENGJINGJINENGGOUSHUNLIFAZHAN,HANGUOCONGWANSHANFAGUITIXI、QIANGHUAGUANLIKEPU、PEIYUHEXINQIYEDENGDUOFANGNULI,CAIWEIQINGNENGJINGJITIGONGLELIANGHAODEFAZHANHUANJING。

  WANSHANFAGUITIXI,BAOZHANGJIANKANGFAZHAN

盈多多彩票APP  MINGBUZHENGZEYANBUSHUN,ZHENGFU“XIAZHU”CHANYEGENGYAOLVXIANMINGQUEQIFALVYIJUJIZHUGUANBUMEN。DUICI,HANGUO2019NIANZHIDING《QINGNENGJINGJIFA》,TONGGUOLIFAJIANQUANQINGNENGANQUANBIAOZHUNFAGUI、TIGAOANQUANJISHUJIZHUANGBEISHUIPING,TUIDONGQINGNENGCHANYEJIANKANGKECHIXUFAZHAN。

  TONGSHI,ZUJIANLE“QINGNENGJINGJICUJINWEIYUANHUI” ZUOWEIHANGUOQINGJINGJIDEZHIHUIJIGOU。YOUGUOWUZONGLIDANRENWEIYUANZHANG,CHANYEBU、QIHUACAIZHENGBU、XINGZHENGANQUANBUDENG8GEYOUGUANBUMENHECHANYEJIE、XUEJIE、SHIMINTUANTIDENGGELINGYUZHUANJIAZUCHENG,SHOUCIHUIYISHENYIBINGTONGGUOLEPEIYUQINGNENGQIYEDENG6XIANGZHUYAOYIAN。TONGSHI,HAICHENGLILEQINGNENGJINGJIZHUANYEZHENXINGJIGOU,MINGQUEXINGYEZHUGUANBUMEN,YIJIANLIGENGGAOXIAODETONGCHOUXIEDIAOJIZHI。

盈多多彩票APP  QIANGHUAGUANLIKEPU,TIGAOGUOMINXINLAI

盈多多彩票APP  GUOMINDUIYUQINGNENGANQUANDEDANYOUWANGWANGHUISHIQIDUIQINGNENGXIANGGUANXIANGMUCHANSHENGDICHUQINGXU,ERDAOZHIXIANGMUJIANSHEZHIHUAN。ZHENGFUZAIQINGNENGSHENGCHAN、CUNCHU、YUNSHU、SHIYONGDEQUANGUOCHENGGOUJIANQIESHIYOUXIAODEANQUANGUANLITIXI,QIWANGTIGAOGUOMINXINLAIDU。2020NIAN02YUE04RI,HANGUOFABUQUANQIUSHOUGE《CUJINQINGJINGJIHEQINGANQUANGUANLIFA》(2020NIANDI16942HAOFALING),XITONG、YOUXIAODICUJINQINGGONGYEFAZHAN,WEIQINGNENGGONGYINGHEQINGSHESHIDEANQUANGUANLITIGONGBIYAODEZHICHI。CIWAI,ZHENGFUHAIJIANGGENJUGUOJIBIAOZHUNXIUDINGJIAQINGZHANANQUANBIAOZHUN、SHELIQINGNENGANQUANPINGGUZHONGXIN,CONGJISHUSHANGTIGAOGUOMINXINLAIDU;CHUBANQINGNENGANQUANZHIDAO,XIANGGUOMINJINGZHUNKEPUZHIQINGANQUAN。CONGRENZHISHANGTIGAOGUOMINXINLAIDU。

  PEIYUHEXINQIYE,TIGONGCHIXUDONGLI

  NENGFOUCHIXUPEIYURENCAI、QIYE,SHIQINGNENGJINGJISHIFOUNENGGOUZHANGYUANFAZHANDEBAOZHANG。WEICI,HANGUOZHENGFUTICHUPEIYANGQINGNENGANQUANGUANLIHEHEXINJISHUKAIFAZHUANYERENCAI,BINGDUIQINGNENGZHONGXIAOQIYEHEZHONGXINGQIYEZENGJIAXIANGGUANSHEBEITOUZIYUWEIHUFEIYONGZHICHI。

  ZAIQINGCHANYESHENGTAIXITONGJINGZHENGLIDEFANGANZHONG,ZHENGFUJUEDINGDAO2030NIANPEIYU500JIAQINGNENGQIYE,DAO2040NIANPEIYU1000JIA。WEICI,ZHENGFUJIANGJIZHONGFUCHIQINGNENGYIDONGCHUXING、RANLIAODIANCHI、YETAIQING、QINGCHONGDIANZHAN、SHUIDIANJIE5DALINGYUDECAILIAO、LINGBUJIANHESHEBEIYANFA。ZHENGFUHAIJIHUAJIANLIGUIMODA340YIHANYUANDEQINGJINGJIJIJIN,GULIGELEIQIYECANYUQINGJINGJI。

  ZUIZHONG,HANGUOZHENGFUCONGZISHENYOUSHIDEQINGRANLIAODIANCHIQICHECHUFA,TIZHENXIAYOUXUQIU,KUODASHANGYOUGONGJI,WANSHANZISHENQINGNENGCHANYELIAN,ZHIDINGLEJUYOUHANGUOTESEDEQINGNENGJINGJIFAZHANLUXIAN。

  NEIME,HANGUOYOUSHIRUHEJIANGZHEIYITIXIPANGZADEQINGNENGJINGJIFAZHANLUXIANZHUBULUOSHIDENI?

盈多多彩票APP  HUAGAOLAISIBANQUANSUOYOU,ZHUANZAIQINGZHUMINGCHUCHUJIZUOZHEXINGMINGHEZUOPINMINGCHENG。

  BUDESHANZIXIUGAI、WAIQUHUOCUANGAI,QINQUANBIJIU。

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